Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.001767 0.001844 0.001925 0.002015 0.002113 0.002218 0.002338
2025-06-29 0.001618 0.001724 0.001839 0.001974 0.002129 0.002303 0.002516
2025-07-06 0.001522 0.001648 0.001788 0.001957 0.002160 0.002400 0.002709
2025-07-13 0.001416 0.001548 0.001699 0.001886 0.002116 0.002396 0.002775
2025-07-20 0.001363 0.001504 0.001669 0.001878 0.002143 0.002479 0.002954
2025-07-27 0.001327 0.001479 0.001657 0.001890 0.002194 0.002592 0.003184
2025-08-03 0.001285 0.001441 0.001628 0.001877 0.002208 0.002656 0.003350
2025-08-10 0.001260 0.001424 0.001623 0.001891 0.002259 0.002773 0.003609
2025-08-17 0.001227 0.001394 0.001600 0.001881 0.002274 0.002838 0.003796
2025-08-24 0.001194 0.001362 0.001571 0.001861 0.002273 0.002879 0.003946
2025-08-31 0.001186 0.001362 0.001584 0.001897 0.002354 0.003050 0.004353
2025-09-07 0.001167 0.001347 0.001576 0.001904 0.002392 0.003157 0.004666
2025-09-14 0.001138 0.001318 0.001550 0.001885 0.002391 0.003203 0.004871
2025-09-21 0.001108 0.001287 0.001519 0.001857 0.002374 0.003222 0.005026
2025-09-28 0.001085 0.001265 0.001500 0.001846 0.002382 0.003282 0.005286
2025-10-05 0.001046 0.001220 0.001447 0.001782 0.002304 0.003183 0.005155
2025-10-12 0.001028 0.001204 0.001433 0.001776 0.002317 0.003249 0.005441
2025-10-19 0.001018 0.001196 0.001432 0.001787 0.002359 0.003373 0.005912
2025-10-26 0.001000 0.001178 0.001415 0.001775 0.002361 0.003421 0.006195
2025-11-02 0.000992 0.001173 0.001415 0.001788 0.002406 0.003560 0.006799
2025-11-09 0.000977 0.001157 0.001401 0.001779 0.002412 0.003620 0.007181
2025-11-16 0.000960 0.001139 0.001382 0.001761 0.002402 0.003644 0.007454
2025-11-23 0.000959 0.001143 0.001395 0.001793 0.002483 0.003875 0.008643